Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.920378 1.123930 1.341112 1.588097 1.859307 2.146336 2.471396
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.687936 0.971365 1.296639 1.689087 2.142093 2.641892 3.228631
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.542353 0.858825 1.242401 1.724430 2.299014 2.949221 3.728654
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.419765 0.751235 1.175951 1.730718 2.411437 3.198827 4.159401
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.305267 0.630309 1.073258 1.675376 2.435485 3.333119 4.445964
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.217698 0.528710 0.981384 1.621514 2.451532 3.450388 4.706533
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.157346 0.454180 0.915511 1.592123 2.490394 3.588942 4.987030
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.123635 0.416201 0.896505 1.621296 2.600728 3.812735 5.368498
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.092604 0.374378 0.866098 1.630569 2.682292 3.999025 5.703397
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.061973 0.322124 0.812445 1.601851 2.710063 4.115481 5.951227
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.055841 0.324750 0.848077 1.702281 2.910766 4.450779 6.469131
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.049843 0.325859 0.880432 1.797715 3.105004 4.778527 6.978791
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.043338 0.326026 0.915048 1.903647 3.323842 5.150820 7.560957
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.037113 0.325071 0.947820 2.008202 3.543342 5.527505 8.153456
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.026483 0.303691 0.940661 2.049843 3.674661 5.789670 8.602317
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.015912 0.272875 0.911985 2.055855 3.755157 5.985588 8.968396
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.005906 0.225576 0.843975 1.995053 3.738458 6.052645 9.170711
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001093 0.184224 0.779989 1.935364 3.719501 6.113974 9.363629
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000008 0.154698 0.735197 1.902862 3.736094 6.219256 9.609503
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.142785 0.729267 1.935149 3.846746 6.449803 10.015866
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.127197 0.711457 1.945416 3.924144 6.635464 10.364658
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.104960 0.671329 1.913624 3.937255 6.733449 10.599847
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.111066 0.710315 2.024698 4.165732 7.124136 11.214815